Preaching Caution to Buyers
Let’s get one thing out of the way: We are never wrong!!!
We thought we were wrong once; but we were mistaken.
Okay, enough for the lame jokes on a Monday morning.
In a recent public bulletin board, we were soundly taken to task for one of our comments. The question was whether a Pepperidge Farm Route was a good investment. Our answer was that we did not have direct experience, because we had never represented one; and the reason we had never represented one is that none of the Route Sales opportunities we had been asked to sell were worth anything, and we declined to represent any of those Sellers. Our comments suggested that the ones we have seen were loaded with expenses, and very little profit. And that was before gas went to $3.50+ per gallon! We further stated that we had heard of a number of complaints about owning such businesses, and not a single success story.
This is not to say that NO Route Sales operations are worthwhile.
Some of the later respondents were positive, most were not.
The criticism we personally received was from a writer that responded two (2) years after the original question, and our almost immediate answer. He was obviously angry that we were so negative about his chosen line of work and we apologized, since we certainly were not attempting to be insulting, which is apparently how he took our comments.
Our response to the question originally posed did not and does not suggest that Route Sales are terrible investments. But neither are they representative of a pot of gold, for any given Buyer. Our Critic’s own private correspondence with us suggested that his Route was a suburban operation, with somewhat specific market characteristics.
And THAT is really the point!
There are MANY good businesses out there. And there are MANY dogs!
One guy’s good fortune is not something you, as Buyers, can take to the bank. Because ONE GUY did well, it does not suggest that the entire market for Route Sales is like hitting the Lottery. Wolgang Puck has done incredibly well with Restaurants; does that mean every Restaurateur is going to hit it rich?
And maybe our experience is too limited to find the real bell ringers, among Route Sales. But again, that is the point: You cannot assume anything, and as we have said over and over, in various posts here and other places, YOU HAVE TO DO THE RESEARCH! You have to know what you are buying or starting, and you cannot listen to only one guy – us, or anyone else – in making a singular decision that may mean the biggest investment, and the biggest commitment of your professional life! And Business Plan can be the tool you use to do that kind of research. (See our posts on Business Plans.)
Knowing any business in depth and in advance is almost always the key to avoiding disaster, and paving the way for real success. This is why we always suggest that your first involvement in owning your own business should play on your own business experience, rather than something about which you know nothing. And we can provide you with tons of disaster stories about otherwise intelligent people that have ignored that advice.
And there are other situations where, though the Buyer had background in the field he chose, he did not have the business background to make it work. Like the Real Estate Agent that could not manage the cash flow needs of the Brokerage he bought, and got deeper and deeper into debt, until we finally sold it for him.
According to our Critic, there are some incredibly good Route Sales businesses out there. According to our own experience, there are many that would be a mistake to own.
There are some great Restaurants in the market. And there are many that should never have been open, to begin with.
There are some superior Liquor Stores, in operation. There are others that cannot cover their own Lease payments, much less provide for Debt Service and an Owner’s Salary.
And though fewer than in more prosperous times, there are businesses that are opened and flourish, or some that increase the volume and/or profits during the most trying economic times. But the truth is that these are invariably successful more because of the skill and knowledge of the Owners, than from pure, dumb luck.
There is no question but that we are Business Brokers, and we do not make a dime, until you buy a business from us. But we will always council caution over our own profit, for any Buyer with which we are working.
Mr. Critic, God bless you in your success. But we still council such caution for Buyers looking at Route Sales – just as we do with ANY business they wish to purchase.
Landlords are NOT Your Friends
There are any number of reasons for deals to fall apart. The biggest, by far, is because of Landlords. The bigger the Landlord, the worse they seem to be. REITs (Real Estate Investment Trusts) are by far the worst, in our experience. Yes, we know we are generalizing, and we should say this is in our experience, particularly inMarylandandVirginia; however, REITs are found throughout the Nation, and we cannot believe they do not follow similar strategies and methodologies.
And their methods – in OUR experience – are largely based on apathy, arrogance and greed, all at the expense of the Tenant-Buyers and Sellers, alike.
We are representing a Seller at this time that has a bona fide Buyer under contract. But try as we may, we cannot get the Landlord’s Representative to answer phones, e-mail, regular mail or correspondence sent via overnight courier, candygrams – you name it!. They have ignored the Tenant, they have ignored us and they have ignored the Tenant’s Attorney. This has been going on for almost ten (10) months, long before we got involved in representing the Tenant for the sale of his business. And we cannot go further with the Contract, until the Landlord blesses the Buyer and offers and Assignment of the Lease.
About three months ago, another Tenant in the same Shopping Center came into our Client’s establishment and asked if he – our Client, had heard from the Landlord. It seemed that this other Tenant’s lease was to expire in about a year, and he was attempting to determine how the Landlord was going to respond, because this Tenant wanted to take out a loan, in order to improve his store. He, too had gotten no response. And he had spoken to five (5) other Tenants, each of whom had similar difficulties.
We have had identical problems with four (4) other Landlords and their Representatives. When attempting to contact other people in these REITs, the Tenants (and we) are shuttled back to the original Representative, who still ignores all communications.
Unfortunately, many, many Landlords have a “take it or shove it” attitude. They begin with an adversarial position, which gets worse once your Lease is signed. And this is not found only with large, institutional entities. We went to one, private Landlord, to speak about a Restaurant space. The prior Tenant had gone bankrupt and it was our position that the Rent was too high for the area. We attempted to negotiate a more reasonable rate. His response was: “This is what it is. If your guy does not like it, screw him! There are plenty of dumb-ass restaurant people who will take it, if he doesn’t.”
We counseled our guy to walk away, and sure enough, the Landlord got another Tenant…who is now about to fail. We spoke to that Tenant recently, and he said: “If I was a mile west of here, the Rent would have been about 25% less and I would have been making money! Not getting rich, but surviving!”
Some locations may be worth the price. In our area, Rents are going from $35 to $47 per square foot, NNN. (More on this in another post.) That means your BASE Rent for a 2,000 square foot space is going to cost you $5,833 to $7,833 per month, plus the NNN charges.
If we stay with the Restaurant theme, the Rule of Thumb on Restaurant Costs suggests that Rent should be no more than about 8% to 10% of your Gross Revenue. At $5,833 per month, or $70,000 per year, that means you have to earn Revenue of at least $700,000 to justify that amount. At 2,000 square feet, that is $350 per square foot, or a little less than your average Ruby Tuesday’s. Put another way, that is $1,918 per day (based on 365 days per year), or $13,425 per 7-day week, or 58,333 per month! That is a lot of pizza and subs!
And you need to think in terms of patterns. Landlords typically charge more Rent for Restaurants than for other businesses, because of the perceived additional wear and tear on the property. Yet, Landlords typically NEED Restaurants, because in many locations, such as Malls and Outlet Centers, having the Restaurant there helps retain Shoppers there longer – they do not have to go out of the Shopping Center for a break or to eat, where the Landlord can risk them going to other shopping areas, afterward.
But typically, the Landlord will resist making your eatery the exclusive one, in the Center. They might give you exclusivity for pizza or hamburgers. But they claim they want to infuse a diverse menu, so the Shoppers will have no reason to go elsewhere.
Great! Except that if LL Bean and Eddie Bauer are in the same Center, you might buy two sweaters from them. But if you just ate a pizza at one end of the Mall, you are not going to eat a hamburger at the other, just for the variety. It does not work that way! But the Landlord does not know or care that he/she is cutting your sales in half, by bringing in a second Restaurant. He/she is not going to discount your Rent by 50%!
YOU NEED TO THINK OF THESE THINGS!
Think about the fact that, in those shopping areas, you would be paying for Rent from 9:00AM until 9:00PM, in your Restaurant. But people do not eat en masse except during the hours of perhaps 11:00AM until 2:00PM. You still have the lights on during the rest of the day. The refrigerator is still on. So is the grill and oven. You have to have staff, or be there, yourself. And the Landlords frequently dictate the hours you must be open. So, if you are relying on shoppers for your traffic, you have some severe limitations with which to deal.
Therefore, if this is your kind of operation, you need to get several items included in your Lease, IN ADVANCE – because you may never be able to speak to the Landlord or his/her representative again, until it is time for him to raise your Rent:
- Get exclusivity, if that is a requirement of your business, like in a Restaurant.
- Use your Business Plan (remember that?) to project the Rent you can afford, and negotiate that rate.
- Make certain the Landlord’s marketing goals meet your needs, as well.
If you are in other types of businesses, think about the essential space issues you need to address. What about being able to occupy a large office building after 5:00PM? Is that important to you? Many large buildings lock the doors after that time and, even if you have access, they frequently shut down the Heat and Air Conditioning.
How does your business intend to operate? What do you need? Anticipate these things, well in advance, for your own sake!